{"generated_at":"2026-09-06T22:00:34.463Z","method":"Each claim is recorded once, with the test that settles it, and is never edited afterwards. Grading happens automatically when a refresh brings in the settling data. Misses stay on the page.","scorecard":{"total":5,"open":4,"graded":1,"hits":1},"entries":[{"id":"glasspool-pulse-2027","made_on":"2026-08-02","district":"/currents","claim":"Fewer than 12 companies will appear in a GIC filing for the first time in the twelve months to 2027-08-02.","basis":"The disclosure pulse is cooling: 14 first appearances in the last three years against 36 in the three before — a run rate near 4.7 a year.","graded_by":"GIC's own SEC filings, after 2027-08-02","status":"open","actual":null,"hit":null,"graded_on":null,"kind":"pulse","params":{"threshold":12,"to":"2027-08-02","from":"2026-08-02"}},{"id":"nirc-fy2027","made_on":"2026-08-02","district":"/draw","claim":"The FY2027 Net Investment Returns Contribution will be within 10% of S$30.5bn — the figure implied by continuing the series' own trailing five-year pace.","basis":"Trailing 5y CAGR of the published NIRC series (6.9%) applied to FY2027's S$28.5bn.","graded_by":"the Singapore Budget statement, expected February 2027","status":"open","actual":null,"hit":null,"graded_on":null,"kind":"nirc","params":{"fy":"FY2027","target":30500,"graded_by":"the Singapore Budget statement, expected February 2027"}},{"id":"raingauge-fy2026-27","made_on":"2026-08-02","district":"/raingauge","claim":"GIC's next reported 20-year annualised real return (FY2026/27) will fall between 2.1% and 4.1%.","basis":"Arithmetic: one year entering a 20-year window and one leaving cannot move the annualised figure beyond this band across plausible endpoint returns.","graded_by":"GIC's report, expected July 2027","status":"open","actual":null,"hit":null,"graded_on":null,"kind":"raingauge","params":{"fy":"2026/27","low":2.1,"high":4.1,"graded_by":"GIC's report, expected July 2027"}},{"id":"temasek-13f-2026q2","made_on":"2026-08-02","district":"/openbook","claim":"Temasek's Form 13F covering 2026-06-30 will be filed by 2026-08-14.","basis":"Statute: Form 13F is due within 45 days of quarter end. This is a legal deadline, not a forecast — the interest is in whether the deadline is met.","graded_by":"SEC EDGAR, by 2026-08-14","status":"graded","actual":"filed 2026-08-07, 177 positions","hit":true,"graded_on":"2026-09-04","claim_note":"Recorded as first published; the underlying projection has since been recomputed.","params":{"covers":"2026-06-30","due_by":"2026-08-14"},"kind":"13f","note":"7 days inside the deadline","evidence_on":"2026-08-07","late_note":"Graded on 2026-09-05, but the settling filing was on disk from 2026-08-07. The delay was a defect in the grader: it read the projection live, and the refresh that ingested Q2 also rolled the projection on to Q3, so the grader looked for a quarter that did not exist yet. Fixed in v0.31 by freezing each claim's parameters at creation."},{"id":"temasek-13f-2026q3","kind":"13f","made_on":"2026-09-04","district":"/openbook","claim":"Temasek's Form 13F covering 2026-09-30 will be filed by 2026-11-14.","basis":"Statute: Form 13F is due within 45 days of quarter end. This is a legal deadline, not a forecast — the interest is in whether the deadline is met.","graded_by":"SEC EDGAR, by 2026-11-14","params":{"covers":"2026-09-30","due_by":"2026-11-14"},"status":"open","actual":null,"hit":null,"graded_on":null}]}